Apart from BJP’s victory in Bengal, there are three big questions on people’s minds right now. Why does BJP seem to be forming government for the third time in Assam, how did superstar Vijay perform such a big miracle in his very first election in Tamil Nadu, and how did Congress, which is losing in all four states, win in Kerala? The answers to these three questions and the impact of the results; we will know in the Election Explainer BJP appears to be winning on 95 seats in Assam. Here’s the latest tally- 4 Major Factors Behind BJP’s Victory in Assam 1. Muslim-Majority Seats Reduced by 36% After Delimitation 2. Muslim votes split between Congress and AIUDF, benefiting BJP 3. Himanta Biswa Sarma’s popularity and polarization of Hindu votes 4. Senior Congress leaders joined BJP What will be the impact of Assam results? BJP’s grip will strengthen across the North-East: Himanta has already worked on BJP’s expansion in Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Tripura and Meghalaya. In Meghalaya, Nagaland and Sikkim, BJP is an ally party, while in Mizoram it is still a small party. Winning Assam for the third time would mean that their ‘Hindutva model’ is getting established in the North-East. Himanta’s national image will shine: Himanta Biswa Sarma’s stature will grow. Till now he has been given responsibilities only for the North-East and election campaigning work in other states. After this victory, his role at the center may also increase. Crisis over Congress’s existence in North-East: Senior leaders of Congress are continuously joining BJP. This is reducing motivation among ground cadre and workers. In such a situation, it will be difficult to revive the party again in the North-East. TVK is seen winning 105 seats in Tamil Nadu. The current tally is as follows- 4 Major Factors Behind TVK’s Victory in Tamil Nadu 1. Entry into Politics While at the Peak of Film Career 2. Vijay succeeded in winning over young and women voters 3. Breached DMK’s fortress, cut votes 4. Emerged as a third option for voters tired of traditional parties What will be the impact of Tamil Nadu results? In Kerala, the Congress-led UDF is seen winning 60 seats. The current tally is as follows- 4 Major Factors Behind UDF’s Victory in Kerala 1. Anti-incumbency of LDF’s 10-year rule 2. Unity of Muslim and Christian votes 3. LDF Embroiled in Controversies 4. BJP Cut into Hindu and Christian Votes What will be the impact of Kerala results? There will not be a single Left-led government in the country: Kerala is the only state in the entire country where the Left is in power. LDF’s defeat will pose a threat to the existence of leftism in the country. Scope will be created for BJP: In this election, BJP could not bring big numbers, but it has done the work of cutting votes. BJP has tried to damage both Left and UDF by targeting Hindus and Christians. With the weakening of the Left, BJP will get a chance to establish its foothold here. Congress will strengthen in the South: In South India, Congress currently has governments in Karnataka and Telangana. Now with the victory in Kerala too, Congress will become even stronger in the South.
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